Typologies: Barking Dogs and Termites

These tables appear in, and are referred to throughout, the book. An intermediate typology, describing the situation at the end of the Soviet Union in 1989-91, is described but is too complex to plot on a table.

Figure 1. Soviet Attitudes & Civil Society Groups, 1982

  Favor existing state Oppose existing state
Believe change comes from above Sheep (est. 257 million)
KGB
Dinosaurs (~19 million?)
Termites (Est. 1 million)
Believe change comes from below None Barking Dogs (a few hundred)

Figure 2. Russians’ Attitudes and Civil Society, circa 2008–09

  Favor existing state Oppose existing state
Believe change comes from above Sheep (most Russians. Est.120 million are pro-Putin) Give Up Trying (defeated democrats. Est. 21 million)
Believe change comes from below None Wait In Hope (optimistic democrats with long view. Est. 1 million)
Believe change comes from below, with help from outside Dinosaurs (Putin and his team) Political Challengers (risk-taking activists & new NGOs. Est. a few thousand.)

The Russian Quest for Peace and Democracy, by Metta Spencer, published by Lexington Books
mspencer@web.net